July 24, 2025

HALO Talks Fast Break: Behind the Numbers-Health Club Multiples and Market Transformations

HALO Talks Fast Break: Behind the Numbers-Health Club Multiples and Market Transformations
HALO Talks: Elevating Wellness
HALO Talks Fast Break: Behind the Numbers-Health Club Multiples and Market Transformations

In today's 𝗛𝗔𝗟𝗢 𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗸𝘀 𝙁𝙖𝙨𝙩𝘽𝙧𝙚𝙖𝙠 we're excited to bring you another portion of our panel discussion at the recent Athletech News Innovators Summit held in NYC, July 2025.

Integrity Square Founder Pete Moore had the pleasure of moderating a panel with Mark Federico (CEO of Crunch Fitness CR Fitness Holdings, LLC) and Terry Blachek (Orangetheory Fitness) for a deep dive into the real-world challenges—and strategies—of scaling fitness franchises.

  • M&A Is More Than Just Numbers: At its core, M&A is (also!) about "multiples and add-backs" 😉—understanding valuation drivers and how projecting future growth (and dealing with the inevitable aftershocks) can make or break a deal.

  • The HALO Sector Has Transformed: Once dominated by just a few big players, the space is now segmented with unique opportunities (and risks) for each vertical. Brands like EoS, Vasa, and Fitness Connection may look new, but actually. . . many are evolutions of legacy Gold's clubs.

  • Valuations: Investor sentiment is extremely strong right now, with leading brands commanding impressive multiples (EoS at 13x, Crunch corporate at 18x.) A diverse club portfolio across states also usually means higher valuation and more investor interest.

We encourage everyone to work hard to understand the bigger picture that's literally happening right now in health club M&A—beyond just the financials.💡

Want to learn more? (You should. Otherwise you're playing checkers while the rest of the industry plays chess.)

Give us 10 hours of your time at the next HALO Academy starting Sept 8, 2025. Register at https://www.thehaloacademy.com now for $495 and earn a $100 gift card from our friends at Promotion Vault. Testimonials at https://www.thehaloacademy.com/testimonials

======================================================

Thanks to Promotion Vault and HigherDOSE for sponsoring. For 15% off products sitewide (excluding bundles, kits, and full saunas) use the code GOHALO at https://www.higherdose.com

Transcript

1
00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:03,640
So I wanted to start this off because a friend, Chat Stein, who's

2
00:00:03,640 --> 00:00:07,440
chatgpt, I said beforehand when I came here, you know, let

3
00:00:07,440 --> 00:00:10,360
me figure out, like, what is mergers and acquisitions and what is M and A

4
00:00:10,360 --> 00:00:13,920
really? Okay? So I'd say M and A is really. And we can please

5
00:00:14,640 --> 00:00:18,440
sing along or stayed along like Family Feud. Multiples

6
00:00:18,440 --> 00:00:21,680
and add backs, okay? That's what we're basically doing. We're trying to find the multiple

7
00:00:21,680 --> 00:00:25,520
and the value of a deal, and we're trying to add back expenses

8
00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:29,060
that turn into a higher valuation. All right? We're putting a lot of

9
00:00:29,060 --> 00:00:32,900
myths and assumptions out into the market, which are hockey stick projections,

10
00:00:33,060 --> 00:00:36,660
okay. We're also looking at miscalculations and aftershocks,

11
00:00:36,660 --> 00:00:40,420
some things that we might not have thought of when we're starting a deal. And

12
00:00:40,420 --> 00:00:43,380
what's going to happen? How's that going to affect the process or how's that going

13
00:00:43,380 --> 00:00:47,140
to affect valuation? Okay. Mudslides and avalanches. If you're

14
00:00:47,140 --> 00:00:50,980
selling a business and the business doesn't perform during that period of time,

15
00:00:51,220 --> 00:00:54,180
we're going to get a lower multiple or we might end up with no deal.

16
00:00:54,510 --> 00:00:57,750
Okay? So M and A is also when it closes, as my friend Cypher would

17
00:00:57,750 --> 00:01:01,590
agree. Miracles and applause. Okay, so those are the five things that maybe

18
00:01:01,590 --> 00:01:04,510
M and A really is. What I want to take you through here for a

19
00:01:04,510 --> 00:01:08,310
minute is what the industry used to look like back in the day when

20
00:01:08,310 --> 00:01:11,230
I started in 1999 and Terry was at

21
00:01:11,790 --> 00:01:15,430
Crunch and Federico had his own clubs in Boston. And

22
00:01:15,430 --> 00:01:18,230
when you looked at the industry, you could actually say with a straight face, I'm

23
00:01:18,230 --> 00:01:21,920
just in the health club industry. Okay? It was dominated by Gold's Gym

24
00:01:21,920 --> 00:01:25,440
as a license. LA Fitness was just ramping up with

25
00:01:25,440 --> 00:01:29,000
equity, and they were building locations and boxes there at every

26
00:01:29,160 --> 00:01:32,680
exit part of California. And then you also had

27
00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:36,559
Lifetime at the time, that only had 12 locations, right. If you look

28
00:01:36,559 --> 00:01:39,720
back here, Planet Fitness had three locations, right?

29
00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:43,600
Fast forward to 2024, 2025, and now we've

30
00:01:43,600 --> 00:01:47,230
segmented the market and every one of these segments has their own

31
00:01:47,230 --> 00:01:50,190
valuations, has their own potential opportunities,

32
00:01:50,510 --> 00:01:54,070
risks, capital expenditures, and franchisors and

33
00:01:54,070 --> 00:01:57,830
franchisees. As we look through where the industry kind of

34
00:01:57,830 --> 00:02:01,630
came from, where all these years, I want to invest in eos, I

35
00:02:01,630 --> 00:02:05,470
want to invest in vaasa, I want to invest in Fitness Connection. Okay?

36
00:02:05,710 --> 00:02:09,550
News flash. They're all Gold's Gyms, okay? The sign came

37
00:02:09,550 --> 00:02:13,270
down, somebody paid to put up a new sign, and now EOS just got sold

38
00:02:13,270 --> 00:02:16,980
for only $1.5 billion. Right. Vas is worth

39
00:02:17,060 --> 00:02:20,820
a couple hundred million dollars. Right. One Life got sold for

40
00:02:20,820 --> 00:02:24,340
525 million. So the owners of Gold's Gym

41
00:02:24,740 --> 00:02:28,300
back In the early 2000s were a group. There was a family

42
00:02:28,300 --> 00:02:31,819
office and they wanted people to identify so they could get

43
00:02:31,819 --> 00:02:35,460
territory back. Gold's Gym would be the largest health club chain in the United States

44
00:02:35,460 --> 00:02:38,420
right now if it wasn't for that strategic ownership change.

45
00:02:39,620 --> 00:02:43,410
These are the valuation multiples that have happened in the sector. I'll keep

46
00:02:43,410 --> 00:02:46,970
this up there. I think you get a copy of this afterwards for free along

47
00:02:46,970 --> 00:02:50,530
with a copy of my book. But if you look at the multiples

48
00:02:50,530 --> 00:02:54,090
over time, all right. And look at where things are today

49
00:02:54,490 --> 00:02:58,090
with EOS trading at 13 times, crunch corporate trading at over

50
00:02:58,090 --> 00:03:01,850
18 times. Right. There's a lot of investor sentiment that is

51
00:03:01,850 --> 00:03:05,610
at the highest level there has been. And if you have a

52
00:03:05,610 --> 00:03:09,290
diversity of clubs in a diversity of states, you're going to get a high

53
00:03:09,290 --> 00:03:09,770
valuation.

54
00:03:10,320 --> 00:03:20,020
Sam.